Forward Rate Formula:
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Definition: This formula calculates the implied forward interest rate between two future periods based on current spot rates.
Purpose: Used in fixed income analysis to determine the expected future interest rate between two time periods.
The formula is:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the break-even rate that would make an investor indifferent between investing for the long term or investing short-term and rolling over at the forward rate.
Details: Forward rates are essential for bond valuation, interest rate derivatives pricing, and understanding market expectations of future interest rates.
Tips: Enter the long-term and short-term spot rates (in decimal form, e.g., 0.05 for 5%), and their respective periods in years. The long-term period must be greater than the short-term period.
Q1: What's the difference between exact and approximate forward rate formulas?
A: The exact formula uses geometric compounding (1+r)^n, while this approximation uses simple linear interpolation.
Q2: When would I use this approximation?
A: For quick estimates or when the time periods are relatively short and rates are low.
Q3: How do I convert decimal rates to percentages?
A: Multiply by 100 (e.g., 0.05 = 5%).
Q4: What if my forward rate is negative?
A: Negative forward rates can occur in unusual market conditions and imply expectations of future rate decreases.
Q5: How accurate is this approximation?
A: It's reasonably accurate for short time horizons and low interest rates, but becomes less precise for longer periods or higher rates.